How Peter Obi Will Win The Presidential Election With A Landslide

ONWUASOANYA FCC JONES

Hon Patrick Obahiagbon’s statement that Mr. Peter Obi of the Labour Party will not be able to muster the required 25% of votes in the 2023 elections may sound plausible, but I think the former lawmaker didn’t do a good analysis of the political situation in the country before making the statement credited.

Hon Obahiagbon most likely drew his conclusions from political realities of four months ago, when Peter Obi was still been dismissed as a candidate without structure. A keen and truthful follower of political developments in the last two months will agree that Peter Obi has risen from a third force candidate to the frontline candidate whom other candidates are running to meet up with his pace and acceptance across the country.

I am convinced, not because I support him, but as a result of my dispassionate analysis of recent political developments in the country. If we had a reliable pollster in Nigeria, it will be difficult not to agree that Peter Obi is the candidate to beat in this election. He is ahead, while other are struggling to catch up.

To win the presidency on first ballot, a candidate must not only score the highest number of votes cast in the election, but also secure at least 25% of votes in 24 States of the Federation.

In the last three presidential elections, the winner of the election has never scored more than 15 million votes. Considering that the 2023 election is presenting, for the first time in the 4th Republic, three strong contenders and a fourth outside chancer, it is expected that the number of winning votes may not be up to 15 million. Some pundits believe that any candidate who scores up to 12 million votes would have satisfied the first requirement for victory, which is scoring the highest number of votes cast.

Peter Obi has an unbreakable vote bank of 10 million. These are voters that, come rain, come sunshine, will vote for Peter Obi. Maybe, out of abundance of caution, we will have to work hard to secure another five million votes, but I am sure that an extra three million votes will do the magic for us. Working to convince another three million voters to vote for Peter Obi, in the next six months, is not a very difficult job to do, and I assure you that by the time, the Peter Obi Support Network and other strategic teams of the Peter Obi campaign unfolds their agenda, even Tinubu’s campaign manager, if he truly loves Nigeria, will vote for us.

Now, let me give you a breakdown of the States that Peter Obi is sure to win outrightly and the States that he is sure to get at least 25% of the votes cast. Note that in States where he will win, he will win with a very wide margin, to make up for other places where he might not perform too well.

This is a very conservative analysis as Peter Obi is expected to do a lot better than this. But, even if he doesn’t, with this alone, he will be declared the President-elect without any need for a runoff.

STATES PETER OBI WILL WIN OUTRIGHTLY

Abia
Imo
Enugu
Anambra
Ebonyi
Rivers
Cross-River
Akwa-Ibom
Benue
Oyo
Taraba
Edo
Delta
FCT

STATES HE WILL GET 25% OF VOTES AND ABOVE

Lagos
Nasarawa
Bayelsa
Plateau
Niger
Ekiti
Osun
Kaduna
Gombe
Kogi
Ogun
Kwara

I invite Hon Obahiagbon and others who are still held back from joining the movement because of their fears about failure, to get into the movement as the coast is getting clearer by the day.